3 – 6 July Ghent, Belgium

Programme overview

The symposium will take place from 3 to 6 July. It consists of four full days, so we advise to travel on the 2nd and the 7th. If you are looking for a day by day programme, or would like to know the contributions per session, then you have come to the right place. Allow us to first explain the general idea though, as it is slightly different from what you may be used to.

General idea

The main building blocks of the programme are eight sessions, each of which is split into a plenary session and a discussion session. Following the ISIPTA tradition, every paper () and poster abstract () is first presented in a plenary session. But, in order to stimulate and intensify personal interaction, these plenary talks are brief and will not be followed by questions from the audience. Questions should be reserved for the ensuing discussion session, where the authors of the presented contributions will be available to discuss their contributions at greater length, with the help of their poster or a flipchart.

Each day starts with such a (plenary and discussion) session, and then continues with an Update@ISIPTA talk by a former SIPTA president. After lunch, we continue with another (plenary and discussion) session, followed by a keynote talk. Coffee will be served before the morning session, and during (and at) each of the discussion sessions. On the last day, there is no keynote talk; we then end with a closing & award ceremony. There is also an opening ceremony on Wednesday, a SIPTA General Meeting on Friday, and various social activities.

Detailed programme per day

Wednesday 3 July
8:009:00Registration & coffeeHallways
9:009:30Opening ceremonyLibrary
9:3011:00Plenary session 1Meeting room
11:0012:00Discussion session 1 & coffeeHallways
12:0012:30Update@ISIPTA by Teddy SeidenfeldMeeting room
12:3014:00Lunch (included)Hallways
14:0015:30Plenary session 2Meeting room
15:3016:30Discussion session 2 & coffeeHallways
16:3017:30Keynote by Aharon Ben-TalMeeting room
17:3018:0030 minutes to change location
Thursday 4 July
8:309:00Registration & coffeeHallways
9:0010:30Plenary session 3Meeting room
10:3011:30Discussion session 3 & coffeeHallways
11:3012:00Update@ISIPTA by Gert de CoomanMeeting room
12:0014:00Lunch (not included)
14:0015:30Plenary session 4Meeting room
15:3016:30Discussion session 4 & coffeeHallways
16:3017:30Keynote by Vladimir VovkMeeting room
17:3018:0030 minutes to change location
Friday 5 July
8:309:00Registration & coffeeHallways
9:0010:30Plenary session 5Meeting room
10:3011:30Discussion session 5 & coffeeHallways
11:3012:00Update@ISIPTA by Fabio CozmanMeeting room
12:0014:00Lunch (not included)
14:0015:30Plenary session 6Meeting room
15:3016:30Discussion session 6 & coffeeHallways
16:3017:30Keynote by Thomas DietterichMeeting room
17:3018:30SIPTA General MeetingMeeting room
18:3019:0030 minutes to change location
Saturday 6 July
8:309:00CoffeeHallways
9:0010:30Plenary session 7Meeting room
10:3011:30Discussion session 7 & coffeeHallways
11:3012:00Update@ISIPTA by Matthias TroffaesMeeting room
12:0014:00Lunch (not included)
14:0015:30Plenary session 8Meeting room
15:3016:30Discussion session 8 & coffeeHallways
16:3017:30Closing & award ceremonyLibrary

Contributions per session

Session 1

Plenary: 9:30 – 11:00 @ Meeting room Chair: Jasper De Bock
Discussion: 11:00 – 12:00 @ Hallways
  • Paul Fink
    SIPTA-Community Based on Paper Contributions – Descriptive Statistics and Network Analysis
  • Fabio Cozman
    Graphoid Properties of Variants of Epistemic Independence Based on Regular Conditioning
  • Arthur Van Camp & Enrique Miranda
    Irrelevant Natural Extension for Choice Functions
  • Ruobin Gong
    Simultaneous Inference under the Vacuous Orientation Assumption
  • Natan T'Joens, Jasper De Bock & Gert de Cooman
    In Search of a Global Belief Model for Discrete-Time Uncertain Processes
  • Thomas Fetz
    Improving the Convergence of Iterative Importance Sampling for Computing Upper and Lower Expectations
  • Thomas Augustin
    On Generalized Empirical Bayes Updating
  • Leah Henderson
    Modeling Higher Order Evidence using Imprecise Probability
  • Hector Diego Estrada-Lugo, Marco de Angelis & Edoardo Patelli
    Fault Trees into Credal Networks Adopting Imprecise Noisy-MAX Gate
  • Nawapon Nakharutai, Matthias Troffaes & Camila Caiado
    Improving and Benchmarking of Algorithms for Decision Making with Lower Previsions
  • Erik Quaeghebeur
    Robust Wind Farm Layout Optimization using Pseudo-Gradients

back to Wednesday 3 July

Session 2

Plenary: 14:00 – 15:30 @ Meeting room Chair: Paolo Vicig
Discussion: 15:30 – 16:30 @ Hallways
  • Alessandro Antonucci, Alessandro Facchini & Lilith Mattei
    Credal Sentential Decision Diagrams
  • Janneke Bolt & Linda C. van der Gaag
    On Minimum Elementary-Triplet Bases for Independence Relations
  • Jasper De Bock & Gert de Cooman
    Interpreting, Axiomatising and Representing Coherent Choice Functions in Terms of Desirability
  • Georg Schollmeyer
    A Short Note on the Equivalence of the Ontic and the Epistemic View on Data Imprecision for the Case of Stochastic Dominance for Interval-Valued Data
  • Brian Hill
    Confidence in Belief, Weight of Evidence and Uncertainty Reporting
  • Michael Oberguggenberger & Lukas Wurzer
    Random Set Solutions to Stochastic Wave Equations
  • Enrique Miranda, Ignacio Montes & Sébastien Destercke
    A Unifying Frame for Neighbourhood and Distortion Models
  • Tathagata Basu, Jochen Einbeck, Matthias Troffaes & Alistair Forbes
    Robust Uncertainty Quantification for Measurement Problems with Limited Information
  • Gert de Cooman & Jasper De Bock
    Choice Models: From Linear Option Spaces to Sets of Horse Lotteries

back to Wednesday 3 July

Session 3

Plenary: 9:00 – 10:30 @ Meeting room Chair: Thomas Augustin
Discussion: 10:30 – 11:30 @ Hallways
  • Teddy Seidenfeld
    A Retrospective on Isaac Levi: June 30, 1930 – December 25, 2018
  • Alessio Benavoli, Alessandro Facchini & Marco Zaffalon
    Bernstein’s Socks, Polynomial-Time Provable Coherence and Entanglement
  • Michael Smithson
    Incompletely Known Sample Spaces: Models and Human Intuitions
  • Thijs van Ommen
    Robust Causal Domain Adaptation in a Simple Diagnostic Setting
  • Marc Fischer
    On the Usefulness of Imprecise Bayesianism in Chemical Kinetics
  • Frédéric Pichon
    On the Decomposition of Belief Functions into Simple Support Functions
  • Ullrika Sahlin
    Is Imprecise Probability Let into the Regulatory Lounge?
  • Marco de Angelis, Hector Diego Estrada-Lugo, Edoardo Patelli & Scott Ferson
    On the Dimensionality of Credal Networks with Interval Probabilities
  • Arianna Casanova, Enrique Miranda & Marco Zaffalon
    Social Pooling of Beliefs and Values with Desirability
  • Noémie Le Carrer & Scott Ferson
    A Possibilistic Interpretation of Ensemble Predictions: Experiments on the Imperfect Lorenz 96 Model
  • Glenn Shafer
    Let's Replace P-Values with Betting Outcomes

back to Thursday 4 July

Session 4

Plenary: 14:00 – 15:30 @ Meeting room Chair: Alessandro Antonucci
Discussion: 15:30 – 16:30 @ Hallways
  • Ryan Martin
    On Valid Uncertainty Quantification About a Model
  • Alvaro Henrique Chaim Correia, Cassio P. de Campos & Linda C. van der Gaag
    An Experimental Study of Prior Dependence in Bayesian Network Structure Learning
  • Jason Konek
    IP Scoring Rules: Foundations and Applications
  • Arne Decadt, Gert de Cooman & Jasper De Bock
    Monte Carlo Estimation for Imprecise Probabilities: Basic Properties
  • Harry Crane
    Imprecise Probabilities as a Semantics for Intuitive Probabilistic Reasoning
  • Luisa Ebner, Patrick Michael Schwaferts & Thomas Augustin
    Robust Bayes Factor for Independent Two-Sample Comparisons under Imprecise Prior Information
  • Matthias Troffaes, Thomas Krak & Henna Bains
    Two-State Imprecise Markov Chains for Statistical Modelling of Two-State Non-Markovian Processes
  • Jonathan Sadeghi, Edoardo Patelli & Marco de Angelis
    Interval Neural Networks for Imprecise Training Data
  • Alfonso Suárez-Llorens, Fabrizio Ruggeri, Marta Sánchez-Sánchez & Miguel Ángel Sordo
    A New Class of Multivariate Prior Distributions with Application to Reliability Engineering

back to Thursday 4 July

Session 5

Plenary: 9:00 – 10:30 @ Meeting room Chair: Frank Coolen
Discussion: 10:30 – 11:30 @ Hallways
  • Liyao Ma & Thierry Denoeux
    Making Set-Valued Predictions in Evidential Classification: A Comparison of Different Approaches
  • Seamus Bradley
    Aggregating Belief Models
  • Joyce Cahoon & Ryan Martin
    Possibility Measures for Valid Statistical Inference Based on Censored Data
  • Alexander Erreygers & Jasper De Bock
    First Steps Towards an Imprecise Poisson Process
  • Marshall Abrams
    Natural Selection with Objective Imprecise Probability
  • Rob de Wit, Cassio P. de Campos, Diarmaid Conaty & Jesus Martinez del Rincon
    Robustness in Sum-Product Networks with Continuous and Categorical Data
  • Arthur Van Camp & Teddy Seidenfeld
    Exposing Some Points of Interest about Non-Exposed Points of Desirability
  • Patrick Michael Schwaferts & Thomas Augustin
    Bayesian Decisions using Regions of Practical Equivalence (ROPE) and Imprecise Loss Functions
  • Pierre-Louis Guillot & Sébastien Destercke
    Preference Elicitation with Uncertainty: Extending Regret Based Methods through Belief Functions
  • Henna Bains, Ander Madariaga, Behzad Kazemtabrizi & Matthias Troffaes
    Using Interval Dominance and Gamma-Maximin for Decision Making in Offshore Power Transmission
  • Serafin Moral
    A Hierarchical Approach to Learning with Imprecise Probabilities

back to Friday 5 July

Session 6

Plenary: 14:00 – 15:30 @ Meeting room Chair: Arthur Van Camp
Discussion: 15:30 – 16:30 @ Hallways
  • Lev Utkin, Maxim Kovalev, Anna Meldo & Frank Coolen
    Imprecise Extensions of Random Forests and Random Survival Forests
  • Thierry Denoeux & Prakash P. Shenoy
    An Axiomatic Utility Theory for Dempster-Shafer Belief Functions
  • Thomas Krak, Natan T'Joens & Jasper De Bock
    Hitting Times and Probabilities for Imprecise Markov Chains
  • Atefeh Keshavarzi Zafarghandi, Bart Verheij & Rineke Verbrugge
    Embedding Probabilities, Utilities and Decisions in a Generalization of Abstract Dialectical Frameworks
  • Ryan Martin & Nicholas Syring
    Validity-Preservation Properties of Rules for Combining Inferential Models
  • Matthias Troffaes & Tathagata Basu
    A Cantelli-Type Inequality for Constructing Non-Parametric P-Boxes Based on Exchangeability
  • Patrick Michael Schwaferts & Thomas Augustin
    Imprecise Hypothesis-Based Bayesian Decision Making with Simple Hypotheses
  • Thomas Krak & Jasper De Bock
    Computing Expected Hitting Times for Imprecise Markov Chains
  • Vladimir Vovk
    Imprecise Probabilities in Statistics and Conformal Change Detection: Elementary Results and an Open Question
  • Ander Gray, Andrew Davis & Edoardo Patelli
    Towards an Interval Particle Transport Monte Carlo Method

back to Friday 5 July

Session 7

Plenary: 9:00 – 10:30 @ Meeting room Chair: Michael Smithson
Discussion: 10:30 – 11:30 @ Hallways
  • Cornelia Fuetterer, Georg Schollmeyer & Thomas Augustin
    Constructing Simulation Data with Dependency Structure for Unreliable Single-Cell RNA-Sequencing Data Using Copulas
  • Serena Doria
    Coherent Upper Conditional Previsions Defined by Hausdorff Outer Measures for Unbounded Random Variables
  • Mats Danielson, Love Ekenberg & Aron Larsson
    Decideit 3.0: Software for Second-Order Based Decision Evaluations
  • Max Nendel
    Markov Chains under Nonlinear Expectation
  • Leonardo Cella & Ryan Martin
    Incorporating Expert Opinion in an Inferential Model while Maintaining Validity
  • Julissa Giuliana Villanueva Llerena & Denis Deratani Mauá
    Robust Analysis of MAP Inference in Selective Sum-Product Networks
  • Paolo Baldi
    An Informational View of Belief Functions
  • Vu-Linh Nguyen & Eyke Hüllermeier
    Reliable Multi-Label Classification: Prediction with Partial Abstention
  • Miguel Mendes
    The Ergodic Conundrum
  • Matthias Faes & David Moens
    Interdependent Intervals: Multivariate and Spatial Uncertainty Analysis under Scarce Data
  • Peter Grünwald, Rianne de Heide & Wouter M. Koolen
    Safe Testing: S-Values and Optional Continuation

back to Saturday 6 July

Session 8

Plenary: 14:00 – 15:30 @ Meeting room Chair: Cassio P. de Campos
Discussion: 15:30 – 16:30 @ Hallways
  • Silja Renooij, Linda C. van der Gaag & Philippe Leray
    On Intercausal Interactions in Probabilistic Relational Models
  • Michael Smithson
    Imprecise Compositional Data Analysis: Alternative Statistical Methods
  • Chiara Corsato, Renato Pelessoni & Paolo Vicig
    Extending Nearly-Linear Models
  • Damjan Skulj
    Extensions of Sets of Markov Operators Under Epistemic Irrelevance
  • Yonatan Carlos Carranza Alarcon & Sébastien Destercke
    Imprecise Gaussian Discriminant Classification
  • Arthur Paul Pedersen & Gregory Wheeler
    Dilation and Asymmetric Relevance
  • Fabio Cozman
    The Joy of Probabilistic Answer Set Programming
  • Daniel Krpelik, Louis Aslett & Frank Coolen
    Towards Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods for Uncertainty Models Specified by Sets of Probability Distributions
  • Malte Nalenz & Thomas Augustin
    Characterizing Uncertainty in Decision Trees through Imprecise Splitting Rules

back to Saturday 6 July